Austere-Leprosy
0x1d2981f5c50f8d4629686f0dd4cfe31bd0b3c240
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$18.37
Total PnL
$-3.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $700 in July?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.50
$0.00
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
2 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.50
$-0.00
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in July?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.6¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.40
$0.00
- NO
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.40
$0.00
- NO
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.31
$0.01
- NO
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in July?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.30
$0.00
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.21
$0.01
- NO
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.20
$0.00
- NO
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in July?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.6¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.10
$0.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.10
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in July?$1.10Jul 29, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$1.00Jul 27, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?$1.10Jul 27, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?$1.10Jul 26, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in July?$1.10Jul 25, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?$1.20Jul 25, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$1.20Jul 24, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$1.10Jul 23, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in July?$1.40Jul 22, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$1.50Jul 21, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in July?$1.30Jul 21, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$1.30Jul 17, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $700 in July?$1.50Jul 4, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$1.40Jul 3, 21:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?$18.76Jul 1, 08:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?$2.21Jul 1, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?$14.81Jul 1, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?$14.80Jul 1, 00:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June?$14.83Jun 30, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?$18.70Jun 30, 13:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $4.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 11:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 08:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.