Austere-Leprosy
0x1d2981f5c50f8d4629686f0dd4cfe31bd0b3c240
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$1.73
Total PnL
$-3.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
230 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.73
$0.57
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
1100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
260 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will Procreate Pocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?
250 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $130 in May?$4.04Jun 1, 12:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $140 in May?$2.02Jun 1, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $170 in May?$3.01Jun 1, 11:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $600 in May?$3.01Jun 1, 11:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,200 in May?$1.01Jun 1, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$22.55May 31, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$22.50May 31, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$3.01May 30, 06:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?$5.02May 30, 03:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $1.60 in May?$2.02May 30, 03:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $360 in May?$1.01May 30, 02:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $290 in May?$3.02May 30, 02:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in May?$2.00May 29, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $360 in May?$1.00May 28, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$7.57May 17, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$7.50May 16, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,200 in May?$1.00May 14, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $1.60 in May?$2.00May 10, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$3.00May 9, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?$5.00May 8, 20:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $3.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 19:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 12:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.