Likely-Knuckle
0x1d3084c9cf4e74f0d4e7d99731dd4c166850f181
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$101.10
Total PnL
$-16.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 25?
101 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$101.10
$0.10
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 30?
1267 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.80
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 3?
1100 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-4.40
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on January 12?
960 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.88
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on April 16?
454 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $160 on January 6?
400 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on December 15?
300 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $3.00 on October 21?
300 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 25?$101.01May 25, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?$100.10May 25, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?$100.01May 21, 09:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$100.10May 21, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$100.00May 15, 11:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on May 10?$1.00May 15, 11:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 10?$1.00May 15, 11:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 10?$1.10May 15, 11:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 10?$1.20May 15, 11:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$96.10May 15, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$96.00May 10, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 10?$1.10May 10, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 10?$1.20May 10, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 10?$1.00May 10, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on May 10?$1.00May 10, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?$100.10May 10, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?$100.01May 6, 08:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$100.10May 6, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$100.00Apr 30, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 30?$4.07Apr 30, 11:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $79.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 08:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 12:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".