Klutzy-Gather-Septicaemia
0x1d327597bfc5b55ae2b9a874ef2ac5a87fbd0457
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$2.0K
Total PnL
$1.6K
Realised
$1.8K
Win rate
70%
33 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in August 2026?
535 shares @ 39.1¢·now 54.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$288.90
$79.77
- YES
Will there be 3 or more North Korea tests in August 2026?
535 shares @ 59.9¢·now 45.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$240.75
$-79.72
- YES
Will claude-opus-5-high be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?
90 shares @ 13.7¢·now 94.8¢·exp Aug 24, 2026$85.36
$73.02
- YES
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?
105 shares @ 59.5¢·now 58.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$60.90
$-1.60
- YES
Will the season series between the Bills and Patriots end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
130 shares @ 39.4¢·now 43.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2027$55.90
$4.69
- YES
Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?
130 shares @ 37.7¢·now 41.2¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$53.56
$4.58
- YES
Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 20 and 23 inclusive?
110 shares @ 33.1¢·now 45.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$49.50
$13.12
- YES
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
65 shares @ 52.2¢·now 74.5¢·exp Oct 30, 2026$48.42
$14.48
- YES
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the September decision?
50 shares @ 93.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Sep 2, 2026$47.25
$0.75
- YES
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?
105 shares @ 37.5¢·now 41.7¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$43.78
$4.46
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in August 2026?$2.40Aug 20, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 3 or more North Korea tests in August 2026?$2.50Aug 20, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 3 or more North Korea tests in August 2026?$2.50Aug 20, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in August 2026?$2.40Aug 20, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 3 or more North Korea tests in August 2026?$2.50Aug 20, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in August 2026?$2.40Aug 20, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in August 2026?$2.40Aug 20, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 3 or more North Korea tests in August 2026?$2.50Aug 20, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in August 2026?$2.40Aug 20, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 3 or more North Korea tests in August 2026?$2.50Aug 20, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 3 or more North Korea tests in August 2026?$2.65Aug 20, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in August 2026?$2.40Aug 20, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Core PCE MoM be -0.2% or less in July?$0.01Aug 20, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Core PCE MoM be -0.1% in July?$0.02Aug 20, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Core PCE MoM be 0.4% or more in July?$0.15Aug 20, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Core PCE MoM be 0.1% in July?$0.26Aug 20, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Core PCE MoM be 0.0% in July?$0.02Aug 20, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in July?$1.50Aug 20, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in July?$3.01Aug 20, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Core PCE MoM be 0.0% in July?$0.02Aug 20, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
76/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
70% win rate over 33 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
33 closed markets, 70% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 20, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 20, 00:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 33 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.