Frequent-Interconnection
0x1d41c3b4412cfbdda26b804f719a41823e4d9a01
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$2.30
Total PnL
$-37.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Brazilian Supreme Court Minister Alexandre de Moraes be impeached 2025?
2 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.30
$0.30
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?
278 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Meta buy TikTok?
148 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Grok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
108 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Israel strike on Iran on June 30?
60 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2025$0.00
$-0.30
- YES
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?
52 shares @ 19.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" this week?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2800 in August?
11 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
10 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$0.00Dec 6, 22:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$0.00Dec 6, 22:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$0.00Dec 6, 22:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$0.00Dec 6, 22:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$1.54Dec 6, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$1.00Dec 6, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$2.00Dec 5, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2800 in August?$3.00Aug 2, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" this week?$1.00Aug 2, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$5.00Aug 2, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazilian Supreme Court Minister Alexandre de Moraes be impeached 2025?$2.00Aug 2, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI browser in 2025?$2.00Aug 2, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$2.00Aug 2, 14:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $100K in June?$9.52Aug 2, 14:45 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strike on Iran on June 20?$11.76Aug 2, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Iran on June 30?$0.30Jul 1, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $100K in June?$4.00Jun 17, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Iran on June 20?$10.00Jun 17, 14:29 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?$0.00May 8, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?$1.00May 7, 12:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $3.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 12:30 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 6, 22:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.