Elaborate-Ale
0x1d454f81e3ac8e8f7534ead89cf19f6e37719a29
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$3.44
Total PnL
$-206.87
Realised
$8.17
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
56 shares @ 18.0¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.44
$-6.56
- YES
Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on January 17?
809 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 16?
780 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-16.15
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 17?
610 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will Aristide Brian Riboa win the 2025 Central African Republic presidential election?
588 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Eddy Simforian Kabarakoti win the 2025 Central African Republic presidential election?
588 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Marcelin Yalimendi win the 2025 Central African Republic presidential election?
584 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Serge Ghislaine Djouri win the 2025 Central African Republic presidential election?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Henri-Marie Dondra win the 2025 Central African Republic presidential election?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMIsrael nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?$0.00Feb 2, 15:58 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$0.00Feb 2, 15:58 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$0.00Feb 2, 15:58 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - January 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$0.00Jan 22, 14:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in January 2026?$0.00Jan 22, 14:53 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$0.00Jan 20, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$32.08Jan 18, 15:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$0.00Jan 18, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$22.14Jan 18, 15:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 17?$0.00Jan 18, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - January 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$10.00Jan 18, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$10.00Jan 18, 14:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$0.00Jan 18, 14:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$18.34Jan 18, 14:47 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - January 18, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$0.00Jan 18, 14:32 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - January 18, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$0.00Jan 18, 14:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$19.80Jan 18, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$5.00Jan 18, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 18, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$10.00Jan 18, 14:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 17?$0.00Jan 18, 14:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $6.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 16, 19:48 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 2, 15:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".