Lawful-Birdbath
0x1d519580f96eec6c0b65f7ae49b9547475f51200
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
123
Open notional
$85.61
Total PnL
$-892.76
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 123- NO
Will the lowest temperature in London be 4°C on May 16?
20 shares @ 96.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$19.33
$0.11
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on May 16?
11 shares @ 98.9¢·now 98.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$10.85
$-0.04
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 2°C on May 15?
10 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 15, 2026$9.95
$0.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 16?
10 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 16, 2026$9.94
$0.13
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on May 16?
10 shares @ 98.1¢·now 96.7¢·exp May 16, 2026$9.68
$-0.14
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 8°C on May 16?
10 shares @ 97.5¢·now 96.1¢·exp May 16, 2026$9.62
$-0.14
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C on May 16?
10 shares @ 98.0¢·now 95.3¢·exp May 16, 2026$9.54
$-0.27
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 16?
7 shares @ 98.6¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 16, 2026$6.71
$0.04
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
4900 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-49.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
490 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-4.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on May 16?$10.90May 14, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 16?$6.67May 14, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 2°C on May 15?$9.91May 14, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 16?$9.82May 14, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C on May 16?$9.82May 14, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on May 16?$9.83May 14, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 8°C on May 16?$9.77May 14, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 4°C on May 16?$19.26May 14, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$4.90May 14, 13:04 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$23.00May 14, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$19.76May 14, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$19.80May 14, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$26.42May 14, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$19.91May 14, 06:23 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$23.76May 14, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$19.79May 14, 05:38 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - May 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$23.63May 14, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$19.79May 14, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - May 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$7.00May 14, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$6.01May 14, 04:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $15.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 17:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 15:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".