Gray-Constraint
0x1d5ecb0c3a3c149f6b0754aa23cce8ef63fba091
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$3.48
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by September 30?
8561 shares @ 12.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 21 ET?
4550 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-5.10
- YES
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 20 ET?
4060 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-4.06
- YES
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 18 ET?
3520 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-7.04
- YES
Will Israel not strike Yemen by September 23 ET?
3303 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-3.30
- YES
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 22 ET?
3143 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-3.76
- YES
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 19 ET?
1020 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-5.10
- YES
Will Israel strike Syria by September 30?
603 shares @ 79.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-478.58
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?
560 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-117.53
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?
507 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2025$0.00
$-70.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?$74.25Jan 14, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by September 22?$92.00Sep 18, 15:50 UTC
- TRADESELLHouthi strike on Israel by September 30?$155.37Sep 18, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Iraq by October 31?$14.00Sep 16, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Iraq by October 31?$17.40Sep 16, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by September 30?$106.25Sep 16, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouthi strike on Israel by September 30?$100.00Sep 16, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by September 30?$19.93Sep 16, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Yemen on September 22 ET?$2.97Sep 16, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Yemen on September 20 ET?$3.06Sep 16, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Yemen on September 21 ET?$4.00Sep 16, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel not strike Yemen by September 23 ET?$3.30Sep 16, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Yemen on September 20 ET?$0.01Sep 16, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Yemen on September 20 ET?$0.39Sep 16, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Yemen on September 20 ET?$0.08Sep 16, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Yemen on September 20 ET?$0.08Sep 16, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Yemen on September 20 ET?$0.09Sep 16, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Yemen on September 20 ET?$0.10Sep 16, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Yemen on September 20 ET?$0.14Sep 16, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Yemen on September 20 ET?$0.01Sep 16, 12:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $44.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 11, 17:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 14, 21:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".