Linear-Ambition
0x1d61acd941cdef1284d33e9cfd999d980156e629
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-457.48
Realised
$0.03
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2024 meeting?
15000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2024$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will there be a US Government shutdown?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?
3750 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2024$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
1008 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-181.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?
571 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?
558 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will AfD make it into Thuringia or Saxony government?
541 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
528 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?
500 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2024$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Biden pardon SBF?
294 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $5200 in October?$1.15Oct 20, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $135k in October?$3.00Oct 20, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150k in October?$8.00Oct 20, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?$5.00Oct 20, 15:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Syria by September 30?$16.67Oct 20, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Syria by September 15?$1.00Sep 10, 17:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $125K in September?$0.63Sep 10, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Syria by September 30?$10.00Sep 10, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 2.7% in August?$4.00Sep 10, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 2.6% or less in August?$4.00Sep 10, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,700 on September 12?$5.00Sep 10, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,600 on September 12?$10.00Sep 10, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paxos win the USDH ticker?$40.00Sep 10, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $125K in September?$30.00Sep 10, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $125K in September?$0.96Sep 9, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$20.80Sep 9, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$20.40Sep 9, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$19.80Sep 9, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$20.00Sep 9, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$20.00Sep 9, 01:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $32.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 13:33 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 20, 15:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".