Wallet digest

active

Activity score

50/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-3.1K

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 16

DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
927 shares @ 88.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2025
$0.00
$-820.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
892 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025
$0.00
$-500.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
789 shares @ 58.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 22, 2025
$0.00
$-460.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
649 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 22, 2025
$0.00
$-500.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
271 shares @ 97.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025
$0.00
$-265.00
YES
Will Como win on 2025-09-15?
217 shares @ 96.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025
$0.00
$-210.00
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
176 shares @ 55.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025
$0.00
$-97.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
118 shares @ 84.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025
$0.00
$-100.00
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
100 shares @ 88.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025
$0.00
$-88.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
47 shares @ 87.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025
$0.00
$-41.00

Recent activity

TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris say "Joe" or "Biden" 3+ times on the Rachel Maddow Show on September 22?$81.64Sep 22, 22:35 UTC
TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris say "Election" 3+ times on the Rachel Maddow Show on September 22?$0.81Sep 22, 22:34 UTC
TRADESELLWill Trump designate ANTIFA a terrorist organization by September 30? $113.16Sep 22, 22:34 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$5.57Sep 22, 22:12 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$450.00Sep 22, 22:12 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$10.00Sep 22, 22:10 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$5.00Sep 22, 22:06 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$454.67Sep 22, 22:01 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Trump designate ANTIFA a terrorist organization by September 30? $1.00Sep 22, 22:00 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$400.00Sep 22, 21:58 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$0.93Sep 22, 21:58 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$50.00Sep 22, 21:58 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$50.00Sep 22, 21:49 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - September 22, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$60.09Sep 22, 21:46 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$447.08Sep 22, 21:46 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - September 22, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$50.00Sep 22, 21:41 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$300.00Sep 22, 21:37 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$60.00Sep 22, 21:36 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$20.00Sep 22, 21:34 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - September 22, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$4.00Sep 22, 21:34 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity40 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry38 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk57 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 40
Avg trade size: $117.05
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Sep 22, 20:23 UTC
Last active: Sep 22, 22:35 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 14:43:20 UTC·src:Polymarket Data