Partial-Proportion
0x1d6bd77d8f2fbdf4cb008257fd03f0e5f403b59b
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$30.59
Total PnL
$-32.27
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Donald Trump say "hell" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
25 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$25.03
$9.51
- YES
Will Donald Trump say "oil" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
6 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$5.56
$0.56
- YES
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in June?
127 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with India before July?
15 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?
15 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-7.20
- YES
Will any AI score ≥20% on ARC-AGI-2 by June 30?
13 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-4.04
- YES
US recession in 2025?
10 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-6.10
- YES
Will Donald Trump say "fentanyl" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
6 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "hell" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?$15.52Jan 3, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "oil" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?$5.00Jan 3, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "fentanyl" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?$5.00Jan 3, 15:50 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$1.19Jan 3, 15:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Eric Adams drop out?$7.46Jan 3, 15:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in September?$8.05Jan 3, 15:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?$8.82Jan 3, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in September?$4.99Sep 4, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$1.02Sep 4, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Adams drop out?$5.00Sep 4, 17:19 UTC
- TRADESELLNuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$10.95Sep 4, 17:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?$0.07Sep 4, 17:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Freedom" 2+ times during his 250th Army Anniversary remarks on June 14?$0.00Jun 21, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Freedom" 2+ times during his 250th Army Anniversary remarks on June 14?$1.43Jun 12, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?$6.00Jun 12, 22:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$0.00Jun 12, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk create a new political party in June?$10.00Jun 6, 00:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ross Ulbricht say "Freedom" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 29?$0.00May 31, 14:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ross Ulbricht say "Prison" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 29?$0.00May 31, 14:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ross Ulbricht say "A.I / Artificial Intelligence" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 29?$0.00May 31, 14:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $5.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 23:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 3, 15:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.