Misguided-Belfry
0x1d6f4261190ac571010966c6d314172603cae304
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$8.35
Total PnL
$-15.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
156 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.35
$0.23
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
5180 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-2.6K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 26, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
2610 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
2610 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
2610 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
2610 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
2608 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 26, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
2600 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 26, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
2595 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
2595 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.11Mar 25, 10:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of February?$8.00Mar 25, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of February?$7.97Feb 6, 03:03 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by January 31?$1.06Feb 6, 03:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$2.00Feb 6, 03:01 UTC
- REDEEMCongress authorizes military force against Venezuela by January 31?$2.03Feb 6, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYCongress authorizes military force against Venezuela by January 31?$2.00Jan 9, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by January 31?$1.00Jan 9, 08:59 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 26, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$0.00Dec 26, 11:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$0.00Dec 26, 11:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$2.6KDec 26, 11:32 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 26, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$0.00Dec 26, 11:32 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 26, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$0.00Dec 26, 11:32 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 26, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$5.2KDec 26, 11:32 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 26, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$0.00Dec 26, 10:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$0.00Dec 26, 10:34 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 26, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$0.00Dec 26, 10:34 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 26, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$0.00Dec 26, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 26, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$2.6KDec 26, 10:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $565.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 26, 09:27 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".