Steel-Work
0x1d71da8a91a6d631485f5f6d43ce481cc53c4076
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$6.81
Total PnL
$-1.17
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
2 shares @ 97.6¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.14
$0.04
- NO
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2 shares @ 98.3¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.14
$-0.00
- YES
Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 97.5¢·now 96.3¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$1.35
$-0.02
- NO
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.17
$-0.00
- YES
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.17Jun 14, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.14Jun 14, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.37Jun 14, 05:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 27?$1.11Jun 14, 05:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 86°F or higher on April 30?$1.19Jun 14, 05:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?$2.13Jun 14, 05:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?$4.31Jun 14, 05:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$4.31Jun 14, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 27?$1.11May 26, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$2.10May 26, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$4.24May 26, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 86°F or higher on April 30?$1.18Apr 29, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?$2.13Apr 29, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?$4.23Apr 29, 00:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manfred Reyes Villa win the 2026 Cochabamba mayoral election?$1.14Apr 29, 00:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$2.58Apr 29, 00:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$3.51Apr 29, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manfred Reyes Villa win the 2026 Cochabamba mayoral election?$1.10Mar 11, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$3.50Mar 11, 00:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?$10.28Mar 11, 00:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $242.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 9, 13:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 05:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.