Portly-Octagon
0x1d7c616521f6c55a7679cbe54875a2011b8e39d4
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-704.21
Realised
$59.40
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Republicans have between 205 and 209 seats in House after election?
1270 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 3-4%?
1224 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-120.00
- YES
Will Republicans have between 210 and 214 seats in House after election?
1094 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 2.0%-2.5%?
957 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the Democratic candidate win Georgia by 2.0%-3.0%?
878 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 5-6%?
829 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 4-5%?
714 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the Democratic candidate win Georgia by 1.0%-2.0%?
704 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-29.38
- YES
Will the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 1.5%-2.0%?
560 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 6-7%?
509 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- REDEEM2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 215+$0.00Nov 11, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEM2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64$0.00Nov 11, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEM2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 155-214$0.00Nov 11, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEM2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104$0.00Nov 11, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEM2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154$0.00Nov 11, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEM2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 15-34$0.00Nov 11, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump win no swing states?$0.00Nov 11, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump win 2 swing states?$0.00Nov 11, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump win 1 swing state?$0.00Nov 11, 15:00 UTC
- TRADESELLDemocrats win popular vote by 2-3%?$10.00Nov 6, 01:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic candidate win Wisconsin by 2%-3.0%? $15.98Nov 5, 23:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic candidate win Wisconsin by 2%-3.0%? $25.00Nov 5, 23:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic candidate win Georgia by 0%-1.0%?$30.00Nov 5, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154$10.00Nov 5, 21:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic candidate win Georgia by 1.0%-2.0%?$3.69Nov 5, 18:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic candidate win Nevada by 4.0% or more?$1.10Nov 5, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 5-6%?$10.00Nov 5, 16:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic candidate win Michigan by 2.0%-3.0%?$18.18Nov 5, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 1.5%-2.0%?$10.00Nov 5, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 2.0%-2.5%?$10.00Nov 5, 13:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $24.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 31, 18:01 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 11, 15:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".