Frivolous-Can
0x1d7e1436c5dd4b81909a5fe6141192b2fd0da2e3
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
101
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-162.70
Realised
$4.87
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 101- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on March 27?
2500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on March 27?
2500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on March 27?
2500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on March 27?
1538 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.54
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on April 21?
1425 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.43
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
667 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on March 27?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.78
- YES
Will Two People Exchanging Saliva win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
286 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
226 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
191 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on April 25?$2.87Apr 24, 17:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 21°C on April 25?$2.87Apr 24, 12:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 22°C on April 25?$2.87Apr 24, 06:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 25?$1.40Apr 23, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on April 25?$1.50Apr 23, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 22°C on April 25?$1.50Apr 23, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 21°C on April 25?$1.50Apr 23, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 25?$1.50Apr 23, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on April 25?$1.50Apr 23, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on April 25?$1.12Apr 23, 07:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on April 25?$2.49Apr 23, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 25?$1.50Apr 23, 06:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on April 25?$0.38Apr 23, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on April 25?$1.50Apr 23, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 25?$1.50Apr 23, 05:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on April 22?$2.14Apr 22, 13:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on April 22?$0.72Apr 22, 13:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 23?$2.87Apr 22, 07:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 22?$2.87Apr 22, 04:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 22?$2.87Apr 22, 01:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 20, 16:46 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 17:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.