Pale-Update
0x1d8189d20168f0de8170bf129e13b470662a3883
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-124.03
Realised
$7.93
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?
87 shares @ 66.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-57.46
- NO
Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?
79 shares @ 37.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Over $50M committed to the Solomon public sale?
38 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,000 and $4,100 on October 31?
33 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.93
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,900 and $4,000 on October 31?
33 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-7.26
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,100 on October 31?
32 shares @ 31.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.23
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYOver $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?$57.46Jan 10, 15:23 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?$17.93Jan 10, 14:56 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?$7.21Jan 10, 14:56 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $120M committed to the Ranger public sale?$2.18Jan 10, 14:56 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?$30.14Jan 10, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $120M committed to the Ranger public sale?$14.71Jan 9, 15:14 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $180M committed to the Ranger public sale?$5.34Jan 9, 15:10 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $160M committed to the Ranger public sale?$9.38Jan 9, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $180M committed to the Ranger public sale?$7.70Jan 6, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $160M committed to the Ranger public sale?$10.00Jan 6, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?$20.00Jan 6, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?$35.00Jan 6, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?$35.00Jan 6, 20:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$105.00Dec 19, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$73.50Dec 19, 21:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$76.20Dec 19, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$40.38Dec 19, 15:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$40.38Dec 18, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$50.00Dec 17, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$49.68Dec 17, 13:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $19.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 3, 16:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 10, 15:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.