Confused-Short
0x1d82f5d0ffde337ea83f2363b6f66a5b0c987d35
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$6.12
Total PnL
$-5.64
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Volt be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?
2 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$2.00
$0.22
- NO
Will SP be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$1.44
$0.20
- NO
Will PVV be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$1.44
$0.20
- NO
Will BBB be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$1.23
$0.23
- NO
Will Trump strike a drug boat on October 29?
4 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will CDA win the fewest seats in the next Netherlands General Election?
2 shares @ 84.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on October 27?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill JA21 win fewer than 9 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$1.18Nov 1, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JA21 win 13 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$1.27Nov 1, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill VVD win fewer than 14 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$3.21Nov 1, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill courts block Trump's 100k H1b by October 31?$4.21Nov 1, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?$5.49Nov 1, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump strike a drug boat on October 29?$4.00Oct 29, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill courts block Trump's 100k H1b by October 31?$4.00Oct 29, 09:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill EA say "Acquisition" during earnings call?$0.00Oct 29, 05:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill EA say "Acquisition" during earnings call?$1.11Oct 29, 05:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?$0.45Oct 28, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?$1.00Oct 28, 11:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill “The Diplomat” be the top global Netflix show this week? (October 28)$1.74Oct 28, 07:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 57-58°F on October 27?$2.35Oct 28, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?$5.00Oct 27, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDA win the fewest seats in the next Netherlands General Election?$1.50Oct 27, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JA21 win fewer than 9 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$1.00Oct 27, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JA21 win 13 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$1.00Oct 27, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill VVD win fewer than 14 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$3.00Oct 27, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?$2.50Oct 27, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on October 27?$1.00Oct 27, 08:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $4.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 17, 14:29 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 1, 15:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".