Incredible-Specification
0x1d865fef1e56590588b19b9ad5e8cc12fe9e0412
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-61.38
Realised
$-1.30
Win rate
0%
34 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
19 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- JAIME FARIA
Estoril Open: Jaime Faria vs Luciano Darderi
8 shares @ 79.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- PORTUGAL
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance
6 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- FRANCE
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
5 shares @ 55.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- ZACHARY SVAJDA
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Cruz Hewitt
5 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$0.00
$-4.99
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?
4 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 19, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
4 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Morocco to score first vs. France?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLas Vegas Aces vs. Chicago Sky$1.11Aug 1, 18:34 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - July 31, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$0.00Jul 31, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 31, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$1.01Jul 31, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 31, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$1.00Jul 31, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - July 31, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$1.01Jul 31, 06:48 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - July 31, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$1.04Jul 31, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - July 31, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$1.00Jul 31, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 31, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$1.00Jul 31, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 31, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$0.97Jul 31, 06:39 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 31, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$1.04Jul 31, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 31, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$1.00Jul 31, 06:24 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 31, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$1.09Jul 31, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 31, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$1.01Jul 31, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 30, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$0.38Jul 31, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 30, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$0.72Jul 31, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$1.01Jul 31, 00:49 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - July 30, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$1.09Jul 31, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - July 30, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$1.01Jul 31, 00:39 UTC
- TRADESELLXRP Up or Down - July 30, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$0.34Jul 31, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 30, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$1.00Jul 31, 00:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 34 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 22/100.
34 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $0.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 30, 22:34 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 1, 18:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 34 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.