Pastel-Frontier
0x1d973373d8560157f76f80f38a1d7906d5e9d127
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$676.57
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$96.78
Win rate
56%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
2037 shares @ 21.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$376.84
$-50.83
- YES
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?
1661 shares @ 27.8¢·now 15.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$249.20
$-213.39
- YES
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July?
714 shares @ 13.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$39.28
$-53.56
- YES
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in July?
500 shares @ 5.5¢·now 2.3¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$11.25
$-16.25
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July?
1994 shares @ 15.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-300.40
- YES
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June?
1979 shares @ 27.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-551.69
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 28?
1615 shares @ 31.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-515.65
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?
1000 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-103.96
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 6-12?
1000 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-101.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on July 16?
966 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-14.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?$207.27Jul 21, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?$2.88Jul 21, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?$209.73Jul 21, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?$0.27Jul 21, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?$2.21Jul 21, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?$2.88Jul 21, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?$3.02Jul 21, 12:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?$1.3KJul 21, 07:51 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.08Jul 21, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$3.88Jul 21, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$0.82Jul 20, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$21.00Jul 20, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$88.90Jul 20, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$88.90Jul 20, 16:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$1.71Jul 20, 14:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$0.04Jul 20, 14:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?$1.30Jul 20, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$118.80Jul 20, 09:29 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.58Jul 20, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?$118.65Jul 20, 00:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
56% win rate over 18 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
18 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $83.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 17, 03:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 12:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.