Gregarious-Artificer
0x1d9b7d97dbf172859a4debc0077f4ae69f78bb78
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$55.56
Total PnL
$24.21
Realised
$-8.21
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon tweet less than 60 times?
56 shares @ 9.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2024$55.56
$50.56
- NO
Will 'Dune: Part Two' gross between $250m-300m by May 15?
1529 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2024$0.00
$-10.70
- YES
Will 'Dune: Part Two' gross more than $300m by May 15?
700 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2024$0.00
$-4.90
- YES
National Guard at college Palestine protest by May 15?
436 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2024$0.00
$-2.54
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill 'Dune: Part Two' gross more than $300m by May 15?$4.90May 14, 08:35 UTC
- TRADESELL$GME all time high by Friday?$4.90May 14, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUY$GME all time high by Friday?$9.00May 14, 08:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes' gross over $56m on its opening weekend?$0.00May 14, 04:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes' gross less than $46m on its opening weekend?$0.00May 14, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes' gross over $56m on its opening weekend?$0.75May 13, 07:11 UTC
- TRADESELLNational Guard at college Palestine protest by May 15?$0.75May 13, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes' gross over $56m on its opening weekend?$0.64May 13, 07:08 UTC
- TRADESELLKendrick drops new track by Friday?$0.64May 13, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYKendrick drops new track by Friday?$0.18May 13, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Dune: Part Two' gross between $250m-300m by May 15?$3.20May 13, 04:59 UTC
- TRADESELLDrake drops new track by Friday?$3.33May 13, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYNational Guard at college Palestine protest by May 15?$1.00May 13, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Dune: Part Two' gross between $250m-300m by May 15?$5.00May 13, 04:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$5.93May 13, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Dune: Part Two' gross between $250m-300m by May 15?$2.50May 13, 04:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 'Dune: Part Two' gross more than $300m by May 15?$2.50May 13, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYKendrick drops new track by Friday?$1.00May 13, 04:36 UTC
- TRADESELLDrake arrested by Friday? $0.83May 13, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$7.40May 13, 04:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $4.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 04:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 08:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.