Austere-Networking
0x1dab040473d5392b6475431730b789bca335840b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
67
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 67- NO
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
13079 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-499.99
- YES
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
11917 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?
3182 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-210.00
- YES
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
1364 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- NO
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
833 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce Harmeet Dhillon as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
383 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
60 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-31.84
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?
50 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
32 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-15.92
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
32 shares @ 50.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-15.98
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?$0.00Jul 6, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$2.06Jul 5, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$150.00Jul 1, 14:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$0.00Jul 1, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?$500.00Jul 1, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?$100.00Jun 26, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?$110.00Jun 26, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$50.00Jun 22, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$100.00Jun 22, 20:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?$1.0KJun 21, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?$805.00Jun 20, 14:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$288.84Jun 19, 12:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$518.35Jun 19, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$680.00Jun 19, 02:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$681.04Jun 18, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$491.00Jun 17, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$55.00Jun 15, 12:51 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$54.93Jun 15, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$59.00Jun 14, 21:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$59.00Jun 14, 21:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $365.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 22:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 00:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.