Rowdy-Jumpsuit
0x1dad41dbf64c400e442ea518491ba78389a97305
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-993.57
Realised
$-413.88
Win rate
0%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
50238 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-309.97
- YES
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
1010 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
584 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.07
- NO
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
275 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
85 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 28, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
52 shares @ 42.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-22.42
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
40 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
40 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
38 shares @ 52.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
34 shares @ 14.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$36.45May 23, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 22, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$5.30May 23, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$20.70May 23, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 22, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$20.70May 23, 02:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$37.18May 23, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 22, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$20.67May 23, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$20.65May 23, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$10.34May 23, 01:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$20.00May 22, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$10.35May 22, 22:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$20.00May 22, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$10.35May 22, 21:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$49.02May 22, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$25.86May 22, 20:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$10.42May 22, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$5.18May 22, 19:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$5.00May 22, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$10.34May 22, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$2.89May 22, 19:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$0.00Apr 7, 00:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
52/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 22 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 39/100.
22 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $13.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 29, 02:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 02:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.