0x1db770f409ebebd6971eb51880de3ee7b5bb44c1
0x1db770f409ebebd6971eb51880de3ee7b5bb44c1
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-837.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Red Bull have the highest Constructor score at the Japanese GP?
900 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2025$0.00
$-18.90
- YES
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Gulf Leaders Summit on May 14?
400 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2025$0.00
$-176.00
- NO
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% or less in March?
395 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2025$0.00
$-304.15
- NO
Will JD Vance say "Coin" 25+ times during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 28?
320 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2025$0.00
$-115.20
- NO
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during Carney visit on May 6?
215 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2025$0.00
$-122.55
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on May 6?
155 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2025$0.00
$-77.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down – May 28 (10 AM ET Candle)
40 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on April 11?
10 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
- NO
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" during Netanyahu events today?
5 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMGiles vs. Gustafsson$255.00Jun 27, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYGiles vs. Gustafsson$260.10May 31, 11:51 UTC
- REDEEMFrench Open: Fearnley vs. Humbert$260.00May 30, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrench Open: Fearnley vs. Humbert$119.60May 29, 11:30 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down on May 28?$105.00May 29, 05:18 UTC
- TRADESELLXRP Up or Down on May 29?$2.50May 28, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on May 29?$2.50May 28, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down – May 28 (10 AM ET Candle)$20.00May 28, 08:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $109K on May 28 at 5 PM ET?$35.00May 28, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $109K on May 28 at 5 PM ET?$39.20May 28, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on May 28?$52.50May 27, 12:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance say "China" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 28?$92.40May 27, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance say "China" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 28?$94.50May 27, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance say "Coin" 25+ times during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 28?$115.20May 27, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Gulf Leaders Summit on May 14?$37.40May 13, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Gulf Leaders Summit on May 14?$138.60May 13, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMTafa vs. Tokkos$77.50May 13, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during Carney visit on May 6?$122.55May 5, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on May 6?$77.50May 5, 05:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Marseille beat LOSC?$200.00May 5, 03:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $70.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 05:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 27, 06:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.