0x1dd0f54bb4f26785e4c8a43228ac9ea178df5d20
0x1dd0f54bb4f26785e4c8a43228ac9ea178df5d20
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
114
Open notional
$7.54
Total PnL
$-438.33
Realised
$-3.09
Win rate
78%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 114- NO
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$5.00
$2.50
- YES
Will Maxx Crosby play for Cincinnati Bengals next?
48 shares @ 0.1¢·now 5.3¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$2.53
$2.48
- YES
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.01
$-2.49
- YES
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
10005 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-12.50
- YES
Will 120 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?
9863 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-9.86
- YES
Will "NASA" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
5048 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-6.04
- YES
Paradex FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?$0.31Mar 20, 16:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be fewer than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$0.41Mar 20, 16:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kawhi Leonard win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$5.00Mar 20, 16:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$9.99Mar 20, 16:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$0.77Mar 20, 16:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.35Mar 16, 11:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$3.65Mar 16, 11:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the St. Louis Blues win the Western Conference?$0.78Mar 15, 06:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wells Fargo or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$0.01Mar 14, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.50Mar 14, 10:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 7.50% and 8.00%?$0.35Mar 14, 10:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wells Fargo or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$3.00Mar 13, 03:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the St. Louis Blues win the Western Conference?$1.00Mar 12, 14:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 7.50% and 8.00%?$0.09Mar 11, 15:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?$0.10Mar 11, 15:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the St. Louis Blues win the Western Conference?$0.10Mar 11, 15:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wells Fargo or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$1.00Mar 11, 15:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wells Fargo or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$0.99Mar 11, 01:02 UTC
- TRADESELLUSD.AI FDV above $4B one day after launch?$2.47Mar 10, 16:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?$0.18Mar 10, 10:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 08:54 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 20, 16:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".