Sunny-Modification
0x1dd3d894873874cd806691cd3dd46d921232bee3
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
100
Open notional
$9.66
Total PnL
$-194.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 100- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 28?
168 shares @ 0.6¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$2.86
$1.85
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 28?
10 shares @ 21.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$2.65
$0.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 28?
12 shares @ 9.0¢·now 21.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$2.52
$1.44
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on July 28?
10 shares @ 11.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.75
$-0.35
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on July 28?
34 shares @ 3.0¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.53
$-0.49
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C or below on July 28?
360 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.36
$-0.72
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on July 20?
1024 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on July 27?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 25?
527 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-0.53
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C or below on July 19?
436 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.48
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 27?$10.00Jul 27, 16:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 27?$12.00Jul 27, 16:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 27?$10.00Jul 27, 16:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 27?$8.00Jul 27, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on July 28?$1.02Jul 27, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 28?$2.18Jul 27, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on July 28?$1.15Jul 27, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 28?$1.13Jul 27, 14:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on July 27?$7.65Jul 27, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 27?$1.31Jul 27, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 27?$0.94Jul 27, 08:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on July 27?$4.37Jul 27, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on July 27?$0.08Jul 27, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on July 27?$0.42Jul 27, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on July 27?$0.52Jul 27, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on July 27?$1.10Jul 27, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on July 27?$2.96Jul 27, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on July 27?$1.12Jul 27, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on July 27?$1.12Jul 27, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on July 27?$1.07Jul 27, 07:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $3.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 18:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 16:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.