Burly-Timing
0x1de0d5d574a56c0fdda03179504d645c561edd3c
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$59.41
Total PnL
$0.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?
45 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$45.40
$19.98
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 25?
14 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$14.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Switzerland reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
55 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-19.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$19.45Jul 2, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 25?$14.00Jun 25, 11:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?$37.96Jun 25, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?$25.76Jun 25, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?$38.00Jun 25, 11:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mustafa Hijri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$32.96Jun 10, 11:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $0.70 May 18-24?$13.01Jun 10, 11:57 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: B8 vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1$32.50Jun 10, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mustafa Hijri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$33.00Jun 10, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: B8 vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1$18.12Jun 1, 11:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?$34.93May 19, 08:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?$17.60May 19, 08:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?$0.03May 19, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $0.70 May 18-24?$13.00May 19, 08:06 UTC
- SPLITWill SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?$35.00May 19, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be less than $30 on April 12?$18.03May 18, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?$15.89May 18, 12:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$32.97Apr 9, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be less than $30 on April 12?$8.00Apr 9, 05:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$10.98Apr 9, 05:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $22.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 25, 02:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 09:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.