Peaceful-Fascia
0x1de2feb2e59e5f403a1ec60d31d16d80339d7273
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
40
Open notional
$491.57
Total PnL
$-228.26
Realised
$-4.25
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- NO
Will there be no next Transport Secretary of the UK in 2026?
89 shares @ 69.6¢·now 69.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$61.83
$0.08
- NO
Will Keri Russell – “The Diplomat” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series?
50 shares @ 87.0¢·now 87.4¢·exp Sep 14, 2026$43.70
$0.20
- YES
Will Trump's approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on July 17, 2026?
100 shares @ 26.0¢·now 32.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$32.06
$6.01
- YES
Will Buffalo Bills win the 2026 AFC East?
50 shares @ 55.6¢·now 55.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2027$27.52
$-0.30
- NO
Will Hannah Einbinder – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series?
50 shares @ 52.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Sep 14, 2026$26.32
$0.25
- NO
Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on July 17, 2026?
50 shares @ 53.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$25.55
$-1.00
- YES
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 AL East title?
40 shares @ 54.4¢·now 53.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2026$21.23
$-0.56
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 15?
40 shares @ 51.5¢·now 48.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$19.24
$-1.40
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 15?
20 shares @ 69.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$15.09
$1.21
- YES
Will “Beef” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series?
37 shares @ 40.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Sep 14, 2026$14.98
$0.18
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 15?$10.02Jul 14, 04:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$2.16Jul 14, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 15?$13.70Jul 14, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 15?$6.64Jul 14, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Buffalo Bills win the 2026 AFC East?$5.40Jul 14, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Buffalo Bills win the 2026 AFC East?$22.42Jul 14, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 15?$0.06Jul 14, 00:45 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.87Jul 14, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 15?$1.45Jul 14, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 15?$10.02Jul 14, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 15?$6.04Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 15?$12.83Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 15?$0.65Jul 14, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 15?$4.74Jul 14, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 15?$1.47Jul 14, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$1.14Jul 14, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$30.98Jul 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 15?$13.88Jul 13, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 15?$10.62Jul 13, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yash Patel come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?$2.94Jul 13, 23:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
1/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $9.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 10:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 04:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.