Well-Lit-Whistle-Lover
0x1de8e3403020b8b978057e9a451c2dde81f8c148
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$122.53
Total PnL
$-9.85
Realised
$-3.64
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 23?
97 shares @ 15.8¢·now 32.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$30.89
$15.66
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 41°C on July 24?
130 shares @ 13.7¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$14.94
$-2.81
- NO
Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
15 shares @ 67.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 25?
23 shares @ 35.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$9.13
$1.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on July 25?
41 shares @ 18.6¢·now 21.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$8.62
$0.97
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 23?
19 shares @ 21.5¢·now 45.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$8.38
$4.38
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 25?
28 shares @ 32.3¢·now 30.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$8.31
$-0.63
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 23?
122 shares @ 8.1¢·now 6.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$7.40
$-2.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 24?
26 shares @ 19.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$4.82
$-0.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 23?
12 shares @ 25.2¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$3.14
$0.16
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 41°C on July 24?$1.04Jul 23, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 24?$1.04Jul 23, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 41°C on July 24?$1.04Jul 23, 12:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 24?$1.13Jul 23, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 24?$1.04Jul 23, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 41°C on July 24?$1.04Jul 23, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 41°C on July 24?$0.78Jul 23, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 41°C on July 24?$1.04Jul 23, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 41°C on July 24?$1.04Jul 23, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 24?$0.99Jul 23, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 41°C on July 24?$1.04Jul 23, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 41°C on July 24?$1.04Jul 23, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 41°C on July 24?$1.04Jul 23, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 24?$1.04Jul 23, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 24?$1.04Jul 23, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 25?$1.04Jul 23, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on July 25?$1.04Jul 23, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 25?$1.03Jul 23, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C on July 24?$1.04Jul 23, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 41°C on July 25?$1.04Jul 23, 11:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 09:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 12:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.