0x1de8f19e708e64001dc5cadbe55f52d891ef9dc7
0x1de8f19e708e64001dc5cadbe55f52d891ef9dc7
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
148
Open notional
$5.92
Total PnL
$-752.21
Realised
$-13.29
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 148- NO
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?
6 shares @ 83.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.92
$0.94
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 11?
1699 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-38.53
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 75°F or below on February 12?
1091 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-16.37
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 28-29°F on February 9?
885 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-90.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on February 11?
596 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-48.11
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 36-37°F on February 9?
472 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-51.92
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
282 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-9.77
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
274 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-9.80
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
241 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-9.51
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on February 10?
214 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-66.33
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$50.73Feb 23, 13:42 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?$81.78Feb 23, 13:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$189.68Feb 23, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?$4.98Feb 19, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSuns vs. Spurs$4.97Feb 19, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$9.80Feb 19, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$10.37Feb 19, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$49.84Feb 19, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?$74.82Feb 19, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$174.84Feb 19, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$9.30Feb 19, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$2.00Feb 17, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$1.98Feb 17, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$1.98Feb 17, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$1.83Feb 17, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$1.95Feb 17, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$2.00Feb 17, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$2.00Feb 17, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$2.00Feb 17, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$1.82Feb 17, 21:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $15.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 17, 07:56 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 23, 13:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".