Jolly-Watchmaker
0x1de9d1402be162bf09b56c3530c6aff4139b3c8d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
52
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-9.92
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 3°C on March 11?
200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on March 11?
200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C or higher on March 11?
200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
40 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will Andrew Tate post 370-399 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
40 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will Andrew Tate post 490-519 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
40 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
40 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will Andrew Tate post 670-699 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
40 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will Andrew Tate post 430-459 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
40 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will Andrew Tate post 580-609 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
40 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 12?$0.04Mar 10, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Tate post 430-459 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$0.20Mar 10, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Tate post 460-489 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$0.20Mar 10, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Tate post 490-519 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$0.20Mar 10, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Tate post 520-549 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$0.20Mar 10, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Tate post 550-579 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$0.20Mar 10, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Tate post 580-609 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$0.20Mar 10, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Tate post 610-639 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$0.20Mar 10, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Tate post 640-669 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$0.20Mar 10, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Tate post 670-699 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$0.20Mar 10, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$0.20Mar 10, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Tate post 370-399 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$0.20Mar 10, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on March 11?$0.05Mar 10, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 60-61°F on March 11?$0.02Mar 10, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on March 11?$0.06Mar 10, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?$0.20Mar 10, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be 75°F or below on March 11?$0.09Mar 10, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be 75°F or below on March 11?$0.03Mar 10, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be 75°F or below on March 11?$0.03Mar 10, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be 75°F or below on March 11?$0.03Mar 10, 17:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 10, 14:47 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 10, 17:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".