0x1df006038f6c2138a26cf0f5a7266a61e2523938
0x1df006038f6c2138a26cf0f5a7266a61e2523938
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
78
Open notional
$10.10
Total PnL
$-360.22
Realised
$-4.11
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 78- YES
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 63°F or below on May 20?
10 shares @ 69.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$10.10
$3.11
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 22?
146 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-6.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on May 21?
41 shares @ 16.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-6.73
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 18?
37 shares @ 18.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-6.79
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on May 7?
36 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on May 10?
33 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.67
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 26?
33 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-6.67
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 84°F or higher on May 19?
27 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-6.73
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 22?
24 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-6.11
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on May 13?
23 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-6.77
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on May 20?$29.16May 28, 06:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 22?$35.00May 28, 06:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on May 23?$35.00May 28, 06:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on May 26?$21.21May 27, 23:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on May 18?$18.91May 27, 02:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on May 23?$38.88May 27, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on May 27?$5.25May 26, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 27?$7.01May 26, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 26?$6.93May 24, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on May 26?$7.13May 24, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 26?$5.88May 24, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on May 24?$7.08May 22, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on May 23?$0.94May 22, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on May 23?$2.18May 22, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on May 23?$4.03May 22, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on May 24?$7.01May 22, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 62°F or higher on May 24?$7.03May 22, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 23?$1.05May 22, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 23?$0.85May 22, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 23?$1.29May 22, 02:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $5.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 05:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 06:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.