Paltry-Market
0x1df278c0937c2e1fa88567086887451fa35b8b85
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-6.61
Win rate
58%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Solana Up or Down on October 21?
42664 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-89.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 55°F or below on November 13?
3097 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on November 12?
3027 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 56-57°F on November 13?
2372 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-22.48
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET
1676 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 51°F or below on November 14?
1104 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8AM ET
1100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on December 13?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on November 13?
898 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-37.07
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8PM ET
520 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-41.08
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be between 48-49°F on December 5?$0.00Apr 14, 20:56 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$5.57Apr 14, 20:55 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - April 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$14.14Apr 14, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$13.89Apr 14, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$1.00Apr 14, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$5.00Apr 14, 20:53 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$5.88Apr 14, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$5.00Apr 14, 20:49 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - April 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$0.00Apr 7, 21:58 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - April 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$0.00Apr 7, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - April 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$1.00Apr 7, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - April 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$1.00Apr 7, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - April 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$5.00Apr 7, 21:53 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - April 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$8.28Apr 7, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$5.00Apr 7, 21:49 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - April 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$5.50Apr 7, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$10.00Apr 7, 21:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$0.00Apr 7, 21:47 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - April 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$1.26Apr 7, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$1.00Apr 7, 21:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
46/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
58% win rate over 24 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
24 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $6.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 5, 01:50 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 14, 20:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.