Wallet digest

active

Activity score

61/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

103

Open notional

$10.65

Total PnL

$-14.1K

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 103

UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
11 shares @ 61.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026
$10.65
$4.12
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
1284 shares @ 61.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025
$0.00
$-792.55
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
979 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025
$0.00
$-813.11
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
940 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025
$0.00
$-639.41
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
785 shares @ 55.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025
$0.00
$-435.13
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
674 shares @ 60.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025
$0.00
$-408.17
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
659 shares @ 54.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025
$0.00
$-361.54
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
617 shares @ 55.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025
$0.00
$-340.72
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
609 shares @ 49.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025
$0.00
$-300.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
594 shares @ 52.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025
$0.00
$-312.83

Recent activity

TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$1.40Feb 18, 03:20 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$1.55Feb 17, 09:32 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$3.59Feb 17, 09:31 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$5.00Feb 17, 09:31 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$4.94Feb 17, 09:31 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$5.06Feb 17, 09:31 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$4.99Feb 17, 09:31 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$25.05Feb 17, 09:31 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$2.04Feb 17, 09:23 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$4.99Feb 17, 09:23 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$5.00Feb 17, 09:23 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$5.01Feb 17, 09:23 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$5.01Feb 17, 09:23 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$5.07Feb 17, 09:23 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$27.07Feb 17, 09:23 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$3.11Feb 17, 09:13 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$5.00Feb 17, 09:13 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$4.62Feb 17, 09:13 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$4.97Feb 17, 09:12 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$5.00Feb 17, 09:12 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity42 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry83 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk70 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 45
Avg trade size: $3.79
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Feb 17, 05:57 UTC
Last active: Feb 18, 03:20 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 11:55:25 UTC·src:Polymarket Data