Pointless-Handover
0x1dfebe22f26b64199a111de6a2a5554ae2efb4f9
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-270.68
Realised
$21.74
Win rate
93%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on February 13?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on February 15?
1150 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -5°C on February 6?
1127 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-17.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on February 14?
1075 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 0°C or below on February 23?
1033 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on February 26?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on March 2?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 3°C on February 28?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 34-35°F on February 24?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C or below on February 6?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 28?$5.00Jul 28, 18:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 28?$5.00Jul 28, 18:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 28?$5.00Jul 28, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 30?$4.25Jul 28, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 30?$4.75Jul 28, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or higher on July 30?$4.05Jul 28, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 30?$2.42Jul 28, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 30?$1.93Jul 28, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on July 30?$4.00Jul 28, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 29?$0.01Jul 28, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 29?$0.01Jul 28, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 29?$4.50Jul 28, 03:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 27?$5.00Jul 27, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 29?$4.40Jul 27, 23:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 27?$5.00Jul 27, 22:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 27?$5.00Jul 27, 22:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 27?$5.00Jul 27, 16:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 27?$5.10Jul 27, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on July 29?$4.65Jul 27, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on July 29?$4.65Jul 27, 13:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
93% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $2.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 16:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 18:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.