Brown-Accountability
0x1e109e389fb9cc1fc37360ab796b42c12d4bbeee
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$353.30
Total PnL
$-120.70
Realised
$19.83
Win rate
100%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the earnings call not air?
495 shares @ 1.0¢·now 42.4¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$210.13
$205.18
- YES
Will episode not air?
495 shares @ 1.0¢·now 2.4¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$11.63
$6.68
- NO
Will Linde (LIN) Q2 sales be above $3.75B?
355 shares @ 1.0¢·now 3.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$10.99
$7.45
- YES
Will Big Brother episode not air?
395 shares @ 1.0¢·now 2.8¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$10.86
$6.91
- YES
Will There be 7-9 Knife Kills at Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2?
20 shares @ 1.0¢·now 44.9¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$8.97
$8.77
- YES
Allstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio 94%+?
235 shares @ 1.0¢·now 3.6¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$8.58
$6.23
- YES
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
295 shares @ 1.0¢·now 2.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.26
$5.31
- YES
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.50 on December 31, 2026?
21 shares @ 1.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.15
$6.94
- YES
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during cabinet meeting?
106 shares @ 1.0¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.30
$4.24
- YES
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on December 31, 2026?
23 shares @ 1.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.55
$3.32
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on July 30?$0.37Jul 29, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on July 30?$0.06Jul 29, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on July 30?$0.33Jul 29, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on July 30?$0.03Jul 29, 01:26 UTC
- TRADESELLAmphenol (APH) Q2 organic sales growth 36%-40%?$1.00Jul 28, 22:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Rottach-Egern win on 2026-07-30?$2.39Jul 28, 22:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Western Digital (WDC) Q4 exabytes shipped be above 250?$11.96Jul 28, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?$0.39Jul 28, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?$2.00Jul 28, 22:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?$3.86Jul 28, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?$2.54Jul 28, 21:54 UTC
- TRADESELLAllstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio 94%+?$0.94Jul 28, 20:42 UTC
- TRADESELLZelenskyy meets with Netanyahu by Thursday?$3.22Jul 28, 18:52 UTC
- TRADESELLZelenskyy meets with Netanyahu by Thursday?$6.62Jul 28, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy meets with Netanyahu by Thursday?$4.92Jul 28, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 30?$0.13Jul 28, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 30?$0.09Jul 28, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 30?$0.16Jul 28, 17:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on July 29?$0.69Jul 28, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gary Stevenson be in the Burnham cabinet?$3.77Jul 28, 16:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
41/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 24 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
24 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 09:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 03:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.