Hairy-Major
0x1e1893e56e9ae9a42b6e7a6fcf4fedce9c82752e
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$6.40
Total PnL
$-2.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump tweet 35-39 times October 11-18?
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2024$3.23
$2.23
- HARRIS
Who will Nate Silver predict to win the election?
3 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$3.17
$1.17
- YES
Will Israel strike Iran on Wednesday Oct 16?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Iran on Monday or earlier?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Iran on Tuesday Oct 15?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Kamala win New York by 10+ points?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- HARRIS
Who will lead on Silver Bulletin on Friday?
3 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump tweet 35-39 times October 11-18?$1.00Oct 13, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala win New York by 10+ points?$1.00Oct 13, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Iran on Monday or earlier?$1.00Oct 13, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Iran on Wednesday Oct 16?$1.00Oct 13, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Iran on Tuesday Oct 15?$1.00Oct 13, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWho will lead on Silver Bulletin on Friday?$2.00Oct 13, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWho will Nate Silver predict to win the election?$2.00Oct 13, 18:00 UTC
- TRADESELLIpswich Town wins the Premier League?$0.47Sep 20, 10:58 UTC
- TRADESELLIpswich Town wins the Premier League?$0.07Sep 20, 09:51 UTC
- TRADESELLIpswich Town wins the Premier League?$6.50Sep 20, 08:23 UTC
- TRADESELLIpswich Town wins the Premier League?$0.18Sep 19, 23:34 UTC
- TRADESELLIpswich Town wins the Premier League?$0.10Sep 19, 23:21 UTC
- TRADESELLIpswich Town wins the Premier League?$0.17Sep 19, 22:41 UTC
- TRADESELLIpswich Town wins the Premier League?$0.19Sep 19, 22:15 UTC
- TRADESELLIpswich Town wins the Premier League?$0.00Sep 19, 19:57 UTC
- TRADESELLIpswich Town wins the Premier League?$0.00Sep 19, 18:52 UTC
- TRADESELLIpswich Town wins the Premier League?$0.00Sep 19, 17:55 UTC
- TRADESELLIpswich Town wins the Premier League?$0.00Sep 19, 17:37 UTC
- TRADESELLIpswich Town wins the Premier League?$0.00Sep 19, 14:28 UTC
- TRADESELLIpswich Town wins the Premier League?$0.02Sep 19, 13:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $0.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 17, 09:42 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 13, 18:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".