Joyous-Alliance
0x1e18d938b7a6b4112d90b2cc9a75e699591c8761
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
54
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-538.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- YES
Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?
484 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-47.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 26?
417 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 28?
386 shares @ 12.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
356 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
264 shares @ 18.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
263 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be less than 21%?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will JD Vance say "Trump" 10+ times at AmericaFest events on December 21?
172 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will no listed leader be out in 2025?
152 shares @ 32.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?$47.00Dec 21, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance say "Trump" 10+ times at AmericaFest events on December 21?$50.00Dec 21, 09:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?$97.35Dec 21, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?$50.00Dec 20, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no listed leader be out in 2025?$50.00Nov 25, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 26?$50.00Nov 25, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 28?$50.00Nov 25, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$50.00Nov 25, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$50.00Nov 25, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?$50.00Nov 25, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Affordability" or "Affordable" at the Turkey Pardon on Tuesday?$40.00Nov 25, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?$5.50Nov 25, 12:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$5.50Nov 25, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$5.50Nov 25, 09:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$4.86Nov 25, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on December 31?$6.00Nov 23, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on November 26?$5.00Nov 23, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 28?$5.00Nov 23, 14:38 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$10.29Nov 23, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?$6.38Nov 23, 14:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $15.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 9, 12:41 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 21, 09:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".