Wallet digest

active

Activity score

30/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-472.13

Realised

$-203.16

Win rate

37 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 72

UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
1049 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026
$0.00
$-22.94
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 19, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
252 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026
$0.00
$-6.92
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 17, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
199 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026
$0.00
$-4.94
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 17, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
184 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026
$0.00
$-9.89
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
169 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026
$0.00
$-3.94
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 19, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
161 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026
$0.00
$-3.20
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
135 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026
$0.00
$-5.12
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 19, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
120 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026
$0.00
$-2.02
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
114 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026
$0.00
$-8.20
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
90 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026
$0.00
$-4.09

Recent activity

TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - February 1, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$2.45Feb 1, 19:21 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 1, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$2.80Feb 1, 19:15 UTC
TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - February 1, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$2.25Feb 1, 18:24 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 1, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$4.38Feb 1, 18:20 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 1, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$4.92Feb 1, 18:03 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$5.13Feb 1, 18:03 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 1, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$2.80Feb 1, 16:30 UTC
TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - February 1, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$2.50Feb 1, 16:30 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 1, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$2.80Feb 1, 16:30 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$4.48Feb 1, 16:25 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$5.12Feb 1, 16:20 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$4.99Feb 1, 16:16 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$5.39Feb 1, 16:16 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$3.51Feb 1, 16:06 UTC
TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - February 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$2.20Feb 1, 16:06 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$3.06Feb 1, 16:05 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$3.00Feb 1, 16:00 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$3.72Feb 1, 15:48 UTC
TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - February 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$2.70Feb 1, 15:46 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$2.95Feb 1, 15:45 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity41 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence100 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry11 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk25 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 42
Avg trade size: $2.83
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Jan 24, 19:49 UTC
Last active: Feb 1, 19:21 UTC
Win rate sample: 37 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 12:20:16 UTC·src:Polymarket Data