Piercing-Copy
0x1e1d8cf6b4d73eccce3224c5eeb26e0f39ffacdd
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$68.11
Total PnL
$-78.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
237 shares @ 42.1¢·now 28.7¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$68.11
$-31.67
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on December 9?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
81 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
40 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
34 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?
31 shares @ 32.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will AI be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?
30 shares @ 33.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Sam Altman be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?
29 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
21 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$99.79Mar 31, 01:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$10.31Jan 12, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro leaves Venezuela by December 31?$10.64Jan 12, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?$53.50Jan 12, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$107.53Jan 12, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$1.00Dec 9, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?$10.00Dec 9, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on December 9?$1.00Dec 9, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AI be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?$10.00Dec 9, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Altman be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?$10.00Dec 9, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?$10.00Dec 9, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 9, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 9, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro leaves Venezuela by December 31?$10.00Dec 9, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$10.00Dec 9, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$3.00Dec 9, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$10.00Dec 9, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$100.00Dec 9, 01:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $19.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 9, 01:04 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 31, 01:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".