0x1e22f56cbaa3088894d29f93754880443d781fff
0x1e22f56cbaa3088894d29f93754880443d781fff
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$44.55
Total PnL
$-27.26
Realised
$-16.05
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 23?
35 shares @ 34.3¢·now 35.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$12.24
$0.24
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 23?
15 shares @ 53.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$11.73
$4.01
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 22?
11 shares @ 36.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$11.11
$7.11
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 23?
11 shares @ 70.2¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$9.40
$1.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 22?
147 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.07
$-3.93
- YES
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 21?
451 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 21?
406 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-13.17
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 20?
25 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.88
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 22?$4.44Jul 22, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 23?$4.07Jul 22, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 23?$4.05Jul 22, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 22?$4.02Jul 22, 01:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 21?$0.00Jul 21, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 23?$3.81Jul 21, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 23?$4.09Jul 21, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 23?$4.13Jul 21, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 23?$4.13Jul 21, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 23?$4.13Jul 21, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 21?$0.93Jul 21, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 22?$4.13Jul 21, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 22?$4.19Jul 21, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 21?$4.20Jul 21, 09:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 16?$42.86Jul 19, 18:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 8?$2.11Jul 19, 18:17 UTC
- REDEEMRoland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev$0.00Jul 19, 17:44 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Knicks$2.17Jul 19, 17:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$0.00Jul 19, 17:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$0.00Jul 19, 14:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $2.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 19:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 16:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.