Jagged-Legal
0x1e2f118d565c509ba031e967ee3e7cde62af7976
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$173.25
Total PnL
$-100.64
Realised
$-24.89
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 17?
183 shares @ 96.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$173.25
$-2.75
- NO
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
1555 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-23.00
- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1255 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
833 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?
800 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 17?$76.15Jul 15, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 17?$100.20Jul 15, 02:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$176.89Jul 14, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$129.85Jul 14, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.05Jul 12, 03:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.59Jul 12, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.65Jul 12, 02:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-07-10?$1.05Jul 10, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-07-10?$1.05Jul 10, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 10, 01:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.29Jul 9, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.28Jul 9, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.59Jul 9, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.59Jul 9, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$27.68Jul 9, 07:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morocco win on 2026-07-09?$44.73Jul 9, 07:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$86.21Jul 9, 07:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $33.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 00:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 02:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.