Flippant-Cravat
0x1e3aa4f7333aadee87f0fe2b8608bffa1726eb5c
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
143
Open notional
$94.08
Total PnL
$-943.41
Realised
$-4.98
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 143- NO
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
24 shares @ 42.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$23.52
$13.52
- YES
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?
31 shares @ 64.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$22.66
$2.66
- YES
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?
17 shares @ 58.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$9.91
$-0.09
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
60 shares @ 16.8¢·now 16.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.85
$-0.15
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
313 shares @ 1.6¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.03
$2.03
- YES
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
26 shares @ 19.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.66
$0.66
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
51 shares @ 9.9¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.33
$0.33
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
192 shares @ 2.6¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.88
$-0.12
- YES
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
55 shares @ 5.5¢·now 6.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.65
$0.65
- YES
Will Senegal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
69 shares @ 2.9¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.59
$-0.41
Recent activity
- REDEEMBrazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score$21.28Jun 14, 00:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$20.22Jun 13, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Switzerland (-1.5)$10.12Jun 13, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score$10.16Jun 13, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$5.09Jun 13, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$50.27Jun 13, 07:39 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Switzerland (-1.5)$10.22Jun 13, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$32.38Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMUnited States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 0.5$64.94Jun 13, 03:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 0.5$50.34Jun 12, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$5.09Jun 12, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$5.08Jun 12, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$10.13Jun 12, 22:55 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?$14.29Jun 12, 21:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$2.81Jun 12, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$10.16Jun 12, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Switzerland (-1.5)$10.13Jun 12, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?$2.05Jun 12, 17:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $11.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 17:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.