Mild-Embellishment
0x1e3e294758c7d4b42d84968d395383f305f8ce36
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$34.35
Total PnL
$-184.82
Realised
$-5.17
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on May 13?
37 shares @ 25.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp May 13, 2026$9.79
$0.55
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?
95 shares @ 4.8¢·now 9.6¢·exp May 15, 2026$9.09
$4.52
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on May 13?
192 shares @ 11.8¢·now 2.8¢·exp May 13, 2026$5.38
$-17.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on May 13?
262 shares @ 5.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp May 13, 2026$3.93
$-9.17
- NO
Will Starmer say "Opposition" or "Opposite" 5+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
6 shares @ 60.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp May 6, 2026$3.50
$-0.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on May 13?
100 shares @ 20.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp May 13, 2026$1.10
$-18.90
- YES
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 30+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.57
$-0.43
- YES
Will Trump say "Mao" during events with Xi Jinping?
4 shares @ 7.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.43
$0.14
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on May 13?
2 shares @ 22.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.41
$-0.09
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on May 13?
2 shares @ 2.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.13
$0.08
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on May 13?$0.8214m ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on May 13?$1.421h ago
- MAKER_REBATE$1.232h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be 84°F or higher on May 12?$52.294h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on May 13?$1.207h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Mao" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.298h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on May 12?$18.219h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on May 12?$12.979h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on May 12?$105.109h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on May 12?$23.5512h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on May 12?$11.5512h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on May 12?$42.1112h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on May 12?$20.4012h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on May 12?$1.5513h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on May 12?$1.5513h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Opposition" or "Opposite" 5+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$3.5814h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on May 12?$0.4214h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on May 12?$1.0514h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on May 12?$2.1914h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on May 12?$2.5014h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $11.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 21h ago
- Last active
- 14m ago
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
