Big-Warren
0x1e435ed1bea3521ee3578e1fd9484cf99157259c
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-532.15
Realised
$8.30
Win rate
90%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 28°C or below on May 9?
1500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-6.67
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C or below on May 9?
750 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.72
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on May 6?
75 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on May 6?
55 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.31
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 6?
47 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 6?
40 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.59
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or below on May 9?
28 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 6?
19 shares @ 18.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.63
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - April 9, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
14 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
14 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 9?$4.68May 9, 03:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 64°F or higher on May 10?$2.46May 9, 03:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C or higher on May 10?$2.75May 9, 03:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 10?$3.53May 9, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 64°F or higher on May 10?$3.13May 8, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C or higher on May 10?$4.45May 8, 07:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C or below on May 9?$3.59May 8, 07:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Houston be 90°F or higher on May 9?$1.12May 8, 07:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 10?$1.55May 8, 07:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C or below on May 10?$0.09May 8, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 10?$3.01May 8, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or below on May 9?$3.13May 8, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C or below on May 10?$0.73May 8, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be 90°F or higher on May 9?$3.20May 8, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C or below on May 9?$3.91May 8, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 28°C or below on May 9?$7.00May 8, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 10?$5.13May 8, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 9?$4.30May 8, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C or below on May 9?$5.21May 8, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C or below on May 9?$5.16May 7, 21:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
42/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
90% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $3.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 01:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 9, 03:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.