Monstrous-Obligation
0x1e4d19581508c4f682cf634511870d6eff4c5098
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$98.83
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?
12 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$12.31
$0.04
- NO
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?
11 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$11.00
$0.01
- YES
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
10 shares @ 91.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$10.00
$0.86
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on March 22?
10 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$10.00
$0.02
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on March 21?
8 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$8.00
$0.01
- NO
Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch?
7 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.00
$0.01
- NO
Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?
7 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.96
$-0.02
- NO
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?
7 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.96
$-0.02
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
6 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$6.00
$0.42
- NO
Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
6 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.63
$0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on March 21?$7.99Mar 21, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on March 22?$9.98Mar 21, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$5.60Mar 21, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$4.96Mar 21, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$5.58Mar 21, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$9.14Mar 21, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $4B one day after launch?$6.99Mar 21, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?$6.99Mar 21, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$4.99Mar 21, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?$6.98Mar 21, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?$10.99Mar 21, 07:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $77,000 on March 20?$0.00Mar 21, 07:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$105.00Mar 21, 07:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $76,000 on March 20?$0.00Mar 21, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$52.50Mar 21, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $77,000 on March 20?$20.00Mar 21, 06:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $76,000 on March 20?$999.38Mar 21, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $76,000 on March 20?$998.38Mar 20, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $77,000 on March 20?$19.98Mar 20, 16:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$378.54Mar 20, 14:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $62.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 19, 10:00 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 21, 07:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".