Incomplete-Bullet
0x1e4d70a7b9c6c4b1533bc72727d267d7d4c0140e
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-394.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $440b on December 31?
3073 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
2500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
2500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Santa deliver between 8,000,000,000 and 8,100,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?
2500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?
1667 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump remove his Rob Reiner post?
1250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?
1056 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-169.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
850 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?
714 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?
527 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?$10.00Dec 22, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$10.00Dec 22, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia in 2025?$10.00Dec 22, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk's net worth be less than $440b on December 31?$10.00Dec 22, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$10.00Dec 22, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump remove his Rob Reiner post?$10.00Dec 22, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$10.00Dec 22, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Santa deliver between 8,000,000,000 and 8,100,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?$10.00Dec 22, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYEpstein client list released in 2025?$10.00Dec 22, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?$10.00Dec 22, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$10.00Dec 22, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 8?$10.00Dec 7, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?$10.00Dec 7, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$10.00Nov 28, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US military action against Iran before 2026?$10.00Nov 26, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?$10.00Nov 26, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$10.00Nov 26, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Putin by December 31?$10.00Nov 26, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?$10.00Nov 26, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$10.00Nov 22, 09:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $16.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 6, 12:33 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 22, 09:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.