Probable-Site
0x1e524ff2123d380a690dbdf2245de2a9428e91d6
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
106
Open notional
$4.3K
Total PnL
$418.65
Realised
$1.1K
Win rate
69%
61 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 106- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
866 shares @ 67.5¢·now 62.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$543.04
$-41.68
- NO
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?
283 shares @ 88.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$256.12
$7.08
- NO
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
412 shares @ 47.9¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$216.04
$19.07
- SAIGON WARRIORS
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 2 Winner
208 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$208.08
$108.17
- NO
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?
350 shares @ 43.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$159.25
$8.75
- NO
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?
357 shares @ 44.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$158.87
$1.78
- NO
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?
211 shares @ 72.8¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$156.86
$3.51
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?
300 shares @ 46.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$142.50
$4.50
- YES
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
299 shares @ 58.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$142.12
$-31.35
- NIKOLAS SANCHEZ IZQUIERDO
Parma: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luca Van Assche
344 shares @ 40.0¢·now 41.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$140.96
$3.44
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYToronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox$9.61Jun 15, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYParma: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luca Van Assche$15.30Jun 15, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 15?$1.80Jun 15, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 15?$3.50Jun 15, 14:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill EDward Gaming win Valorant Masters London 2026?$7.54Jun 15, 14:43 UTC
- TRADESELLHalle Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Sho Shimabukuro$2.15Jun 15, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 15?$10.08Jun 15, 14:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 15?$20.47Jun 15, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 15?$63.62Jun 15, 14:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 15?$18.36Jun 15, 14:34 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Saigon Warriors vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 1 Winner$0.00Jun 15, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 15?$0.94Jun 15, 14:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 15?$41.70Jun 15, 14:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 15?$4.80Jun 15, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYToronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox$2.13Jun 15, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?$184.32Jun 15, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?$12.89Jun 15, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?$14.80Jun 15, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYParma: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luca Van Assche$8.00Jun 15, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?$9.91Jun 15, 14:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $24.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 11:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 15:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 61 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.