Untrue-Espalier
0x1e54538f79b3b43cfbeaf810e9cd946b943d9d03
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$-8.72
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 21?
515 shares @ 58.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 18?
497 shares @ 12.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 11, 2026?
453 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-90.61
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 12?
299 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-86.78
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 21?
194 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-120.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 23?
158 shares @ 63.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 16?
154 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 23?
147 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
67 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-39.42
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
63 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-32.56
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$0.00Feb 27, 19:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$0.00Feb 27, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$59.86Feb 27, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 23?$100.00Feb 23, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 23?$100.00Feb 23, 11:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 23?$111.87Feb 23, 09:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 23?$147.99Feb 23, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$33.08Feb 22, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 23?$100.00Feb 22, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 23?$100.00Feb 22, 18:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 22?$233.08Feb 22, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 22?$121.99Feb 22, 07:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on February 21?$101.34Feb 21, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 21?$100.00Feb 20, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 21?$200.00Feb 20, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 21?$120.00Feb 20, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on February 21?$85.00Feb 20, 19:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 20?$174.07Feb 20, 15:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 20?$116.45Feb 20, 13:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 20?$110.71Feb 20, 12:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $93.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 17, 13:23 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 27, 19:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.