Downright-Adoption
0x1e54a63e0800d2b5a6558a5bbd1030ce6750b059
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$512.24
Total PnL
$-147.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
700 shares @ 24.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$238.00
$70.00
- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
845 shares @ 5.9¢·now 25.1¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$211.69
$162.12
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
385 shares @ 13.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$50.05
$0.00
- NO
Will Lando Norris win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
500 shares @ 55.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp May 9, 2026$12.50
$-262.49
- YES
Will Mary Lou McDonald be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?
422 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2024$0.00
$-20.96
- YES
Will Kick Sauber record the fastest lap at 2025 F1 Winter Testing?
416 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will the US strike Somalia next?
246 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-18.45
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
159 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.78
- YES
Trump takes Panama Canal in 2025?
59 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Google Maps renames it "Gulf of America" before March?
56 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$253.365h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$6.115h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$1.226h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$3.307h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$11.007h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$171.8323h ago
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?$50.0529d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Somalia next?$18.4563d ago
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$10.2072d ago
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$0.5872d ago
- TRADEBUYWill William Byron win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Daytona 500?$1.0076d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$2.0493d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$9.1393d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$3.7394d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$23.4194d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.2394d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.3094d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$7.9594d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.1094d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.2894d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $22.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 520d ago
- Last active
- 5h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".