Fearful-Technology
0x1e63e24a7451af8bfe0b4d882a08612bfcfa3f8a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-628.69
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
395 shares @ 31.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-125.00
- NO
Will Powell say "Employment" or "Unemployment" 20+ times during December press conference?
143 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
118 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday?
98 shares @ 50.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
95 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Italy make the 2026 World Baseball Classic final?
95 shares @ 21.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
93 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- NO
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during December press conference?
87 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.99
- YES
Will Luigi Mangione smile during next court appearance?
66 shares @ 60.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMOscars Bingo$0.00Mar 16, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?$100.00Mar 14, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy make the 2026 World Baseball Classic final?$20.00Mar 12, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?$25.00Mar 12, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYOscars Bingo$30.00Mar 5, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYOscars Bingo$20.00Mar 5, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$25.00Mar 5, 20:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 14 and 17 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?$34.12Mar 2, 14:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?$119.07Feb 27, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?$20.00Feb 27, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 14 and 17 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?$25.00Feb 27, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?$25.00Feb 27, 00:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$0.00Feb 21, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$5.00Feb 21, 21:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$18.94Feb 21, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$10.62Feb 21, 21:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$25.45Feb 21, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$20.00Feb 21, 21:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$0.00Feb 21, 20:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$204.06Feb 21, 20:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $40.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 22, 16:12 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 10:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".