Educated-Agony
0x1e68317ff79c9eac666dcd280a5e36f7bc2ed288
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$91.73
Total PnL
$4.58
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will Maggie Hassan vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?
9 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$9.47
$0.47
- NO
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $670b and $680b on March 31?
9 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$9.38
$0.38
- YES
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on March 31?
9 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$9.38
$0.38
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on March 29?
9 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$9.11
$0.32
- NO
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,200,000 and $1,220,000 on April 1?
6 shares @ 90.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$5.95
$0.55
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C or higher on April 1?
6 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$5.92
$0.71
- NO
Will Solana dip to $50 in March?
6 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$5.86
$0.41
- NO
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on April 3, 2026?
6 shares @ 95.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$5.82
$0.28
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?
6 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$5.55
$0.33
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of March?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.37
$0.32
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C or higher on April 1?$5.26Mar 31, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on April 1?$4.55Mar 31, 13:02 UTC
- TRADESELLHornets vs. Nets$7.71Mar 31, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C or higher on April 2?$4.47Mar 31, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in Miami be between $1,200,000 and $1,220,000 on April 1?$5.40Mar 30, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYHornets vs. Nets$7.65Mar 30, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $670b and $680b on March 31?$9.00Mar 29, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Maggie Hassan vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?$9.00Mar 29, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on March 31?$9.00Mar 29, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on March 29?$8.79Mar 29, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on April 3, 2026?$5.54Mar 29, 06:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 31°C on March 20?$5.00Mar 29, 06:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on March 21?$5.83Mar 29, 06:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 98°F or higher on March 22?$5.89Mar 29, 06:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 22?$5.91Mar 29, 06:41 UTC
- REDEEMKnicks vs. Nets$8.33Mar 29, 06:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 24?$8.38Mar 29, 06:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the number of Israel Rocket Alerts since Operation Lion's Roar be at least 24,000 by March 20?$8.39Mar 29, 06:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the March Meeting?$8.39Mar 29, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 98°F or higher on March 22?$5.42Mar 21, 07:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $6.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 17:32 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 31, 13:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.